No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $78.1
- Potential payout
- $78.22
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.43
Polymarket Trader
ArneLutsch
0x25ffe4d8490c723adc01ca99f3d3919c799be79b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $115.44
- Realized PnL
- $113.21
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Solana dip to $30 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $37.34
- Potential payout
- $37.43
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
VCU Rams position
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.12
Sharks position
Blues vs. Sharks
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.04
Duke Blue Devils position
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Cavaliers position
Hawks vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Sabres position
Lightning vs. Sabres
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Magic position
Timberwolves vs. Magic
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Wizards
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Solana dip to $40 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.7% 13.32 shares
- Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.8% 13.33 shares
- Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 99.7% 5.01 shares
- Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.7% 22.28 shares
- Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.8% 22.28 shares
- Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.2% 17.84 shares
- Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 17.84 shares
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami MarlinsSan Francisco Giants 57% 10 shares
- Will Solana dip to $30 in June?No 99.8% 37.43 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 20.93 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 20.94 shares