periculophobic

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.96
Potential profit: $254.96
User PnL: -$31.11

Cleveland Guardians position

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.39
Potential profit: $242.39
User PnL: -$59.22

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $10.91
Potential payout: $216
Potential profit: $205.09
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$47.19

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.9%
Current value: $72.41
Potential payout: $201.98
Potential profit: $129.57
Multiplier: 2.79x
User PnL: $36.05

Baltimore Orioles position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $196
User PnL: -$15.68

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $170.52
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $25.48
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $31.08

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $22.44
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $173.56
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $25.48
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $170.52
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$26.36

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $173.55
Potential payout: $195.99
Potential profit: $22.44
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $75.49
Potential payout: $188.71
Potential profit: $113.23
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$55.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 75.1%
Current value: $140.31
Potential payout: $186.83
Potential profit: $46.52
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $85.94

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $7.69
Potential payout: $183
Potential profit: $175.31
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$9.69

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $109.18
Potential payout: $181.96
Potential profit: $72.79
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $47.83

Atlanta Braves position

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.53
Potential profit: $164.53
User PnL: -$26.49

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $27.04
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $132.96
Multiplier: 5.92x
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $157.86
Potential profit: $146.59
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$3.68

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 66.4%
Current value: $104.5
Potential payout: $157.5
Potential profit: $53
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: $48.97

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 63.9%
Current value: $99.92
Potential payout: $156.38
Potential profit: $56.45
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$29.2

Over position

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.12
Potential profit: $155.12
User PnL: -$9.01

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $72.38
Potential payout: $154
Potential profit: $81.62
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 36.1%
Current value: $54.4
Potential payout: $150.68
Potential profit: $96.28
Multiplier: 2.77x
User PnL: $23.72

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $88.83
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $37.17
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $24.87

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $36.9
Potential payout: $125.09
Potential profit: $88.19
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$18.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.35

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.12

No position

Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.8

Cincinnati Reds position

Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.24

Toronto Blue Jays position

Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.83

Over position

Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.16

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.12

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.65

Toronto Blue Jays position

Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.68

Cincinnati Reds position

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.2

Washington Nationals position

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.8

Over position

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.46

No position

Will Romania win on 2026-06-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.99

Over position

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.19

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-02?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.69

Atlanta Braves position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.36

Seattle Mariners position

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.07

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.2

No position

Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.1

Under position

Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.9

Washington Nationals position

Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.68

Cincinnati Reds position

Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.44

Over position

Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.42

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)