No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Tapdraw
0x260f9b0afb795e58e99409bc16f56fcadffc4a5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16
- Realized PnL
- $249.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $928.07
- Potential profit
- $928.07
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.92
- Potential profit
- $346.92
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.38
- Potential profit
- $271.38
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.91
- Potential profit
- $258.91
- User PnL
- -$7.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 100-124 times October 18-25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $176.47
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.19
- Potential profit
- $138.19
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.79
- Potential profit
- $111.79
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.65
- Potential profit
- $109.65
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $104.17
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.75
- Potential profit
- $103.75
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "tampon" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $94.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.49
- Potential profit
- $82.49
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $78.84
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.51
- Potential profit
- $79.51
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.09
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
Yes position
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Gabriela Ruse position
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Ruse
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 52% 2.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown 40% 2.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 20% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp 30% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp 41% 12.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp 40% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp 60% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown 25% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown 25% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown 96% 7.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown 27% 3.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown 29% 3.45 shares