No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.42K
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $42.37
- User PnL
- $251.03
Polymarket Trader
0x26132434b897F260814806F46485416F11A35aef-1772569326693
0x26132434b897f260814806f46485416f11a35aef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.89K
- Realized PnL
- $2.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.54K
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $23.13
- User PnL
- $260.18
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- User PnL
- $75.63
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $636.96
- Potential payout
- $727.96
- Potential profit
- $90.99
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $39.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.71
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.52
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.57
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.62
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.79
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.87
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.72
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.59
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.34
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.83
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $54.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.86
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.59
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 95.4% 57.65 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 95.4% 838.54 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 95% 5 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 98.8% 872.67 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 94% 112.18 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 97.5% 107.45 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 94% 63.56 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No 98.9% 391.01 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 92.2% 872.67 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 95% 846.38 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No 97% 77.32 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 93.1% 107.46 shares