No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $26.83K
- Potential payout
- $26.92K
- Potential profit
- $94.24
- User PnL
- $4.04K
Polymarket Trader
x0000
0x2616d30081a1a1718b4568e92459370637798d3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.18K
- Realized PnL
- $49.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $23.44K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $10.94K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $23.44K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.94K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.69K
- Potential payout
- $6.29K
- Potential profit
- $597.6
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $518.94
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.65K
- Potential payout
- $4.04K
- Potential profit
- $383.39
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $60.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33K
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6K
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
No position
Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $891.52
No position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $870.12
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $865.15
No position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.21
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.45
No position
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.42
No position
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.6% 600 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No 42% 32.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 99.9% 5,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes 99% 9,994.89 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 99.8% 49,324.51 shares
- Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 2% 335.2 shares
- Solana Up or Down on February 23?Down 98.9% 92 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?No 69% 8.5 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?No 70% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during the Black History Month reception?Yes 1% 99.99 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes 18% 1,293.75 shares