Polymarket Trader

Gringato

0x261d8cc60aa48fa494c39ba32781b7c21f0f300e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.61
Realized PnL: $2.2
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $67.61
Potential payout: $67.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.61

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.07
Potential profit: $15.07
User PnL: -$11.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.52

No position

Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

No position

Half-Life 3 released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Trump transgender executive order on Day 1?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Patrick (Player 930) win the Beast Games?

Ends Feb 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US strike Iran next?

Yes 74.1% 15.07 shares
Another Elon baby by June 30?

No 80% 25 shares
Half-Life 3 released in 2025?

No 98.5% 31.16 shares
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Yes 59.2% 67.61 shares
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Patrick (Player 930) win the Beast Games?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?

No 82% 17.82 shares
Trump transgender executive order on Day 1?

No 17% 29.41 shares
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?

Yes 54% 72.87 shares
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares