Polymarket Trader

pedm

0x2633714d653752553c5c1ec4be856c21f02e67b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $156.95
Realized PnL: $145.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.86
Potential profit: $517.86
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $43.51
Potential payout: $378.37
Potential profit: $334.86
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $25.54
Potential payout: $340.53
Potential profit: $314.99
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$25.41

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $29.68
Potential payout: $247.31
Potential profit: $217.64
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$4.47

No position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$5

No position

Bolsonaro guilty?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.61
Potential profit: $235.61
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $226.27
Potential profit: $219.82
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Flamengo win in regular time against PSG?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.24
Potential profit: $205.24
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14.54

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $8.81
Potential payout: $161.62
Potential profit: $152.81
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$7.19

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $149.52
Potential profit: $147.35
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$68.83

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$8.12

No position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $40.8
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $79.19
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$32.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$6.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.5
Potential profit: $99.5
User PnL: -$39.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Ceasefire position

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.03

Yes position

Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

No position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.63

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

No position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will PSG vs. Flamengo end in a draw in regular time?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?

Yes 5.6% 517.86 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.9% 161.62 shares
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Yes 1.4% 208.45 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 40 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Yes 15% 60 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Yes 14% 22.71 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 46% 65.22 shares
Human moon landing in 2026?

Yes 4.4% 226.27 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes 20.2% 49.52 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 16% 100.46 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 27% 38 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 11% 100 shares