Polymarket Trader

vat5

0x263866275a7b71fe66e22e25332b614e5d79d9f1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.15
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $4.77K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.25
Potential profit: $98.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $8.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.86
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $6.71
Potential payout: $7.09
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $6.29
Potential profit: $6.27
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $4.07
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.74
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 15.9% 6.29 shares
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?

No 14.1% 7.09 shares
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.6% 4.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 1% 98.25 shares
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 10% 10 shares
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.1% 4,785.55 shares
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

No 0.2% 500 shares