Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $57.95
- Potential payout
- $289.02
- Potential profit
- $231.07
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $7.95
Polymarket Trader
Grapes
0x263e734fd9b4885196b6749ba9761e927fb6a166
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $263.7
- Realized PnL
- $713.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.3%
- Current value
- $45.42
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $95.42
- Multiplier
- 3.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $66.35
- Potential payout
- $85.61
- Potential profit
- $19.26
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $67.88
- Potential payout
- $85.43
- Potential profit
- $17.56
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $23.54
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.67
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.9
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.33
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.24
Yes position
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
No position
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.3
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.63
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.21
Yes position
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.14
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
No position
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
NBA Finals G4: Will Haliburton score 18+ points against the Thunder?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 78.1% 19.21 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.5% 140.85 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.3% 289.02 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 75.5% 66.23 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 96% 52.08 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 64.1 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 25.64 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 21.51 shares
- Golden Knights vs. UtahGolden Knights 91% 5.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 83% 60.24 shares