No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $37.18
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $15.18
Polymarket Trader
0x2651...c8f9
0x26514690a57b076197618219b46f7dfa7e3dc8f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $104.87
- Realized PnL
- -$19.33
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.7%
- Current value
- $12.7
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.73
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $11.85
- Multiplier
- 6.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.4%
- Current value
- $9.54
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 3.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$6.52
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$13.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 8% 18.99 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 53.5% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88.1% 7 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 93% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 79% 10 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.3% 8 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 84.3% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 13% 26 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.3% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 14.5% 9 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.1% 8 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.1% 20 shares