0x26572868AdCeE0E5136dC8d33756e9879d0D42E6-1771354638297

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $23.95K
Potential profit: $22.16K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.75K

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $3.81K
Potential payout: $19.04K
Potential profit: $15.23K
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$1.49K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.43K
Potential profit: $8.43K
User PnL: -$118

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $945.01
Potential profit: $944.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $661.52
Potential profit: $661.52
User PnL: -$34.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.19
Potential profit: $312.19
User PnL: -$31.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.16
Potential profit: $221.16
User PnL: -$21.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.04
Potential profit: $192.04
User PnL: -$38.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.62
Potential profit: $174.62
User PnL: -$14.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.98
Potential profit: $126.98
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.73
Potential profit: $65.73
User PnL: -$27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.55
Potential profit: $63.55
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.21
Potential profit: $56.21
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.98
Potential profit: $44.98
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.64
Potential profit: $41.64
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.02
Potential profit: $37.02
User PnL: -$5.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.9
Potential profit: $30.9
User PnL: -$4.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.44
Potential profit: $28.44
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $250.12

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 25.2%
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: $175.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.69

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $56.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET