Polymarket Trader

ThommyShelby

@RodrigoPorsh

0x26667580331965b3117a18d722062f1a8b2a8db5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $836.74
Realized PnL: $173.46
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $42.23
Potential payout: $28.15K
Potential profit: $28.11K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$35.22

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $86.99
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.88K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $11.58
Potential payout: $4.63K
Potential profit: $4.62K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.95

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $39.58
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $4.13K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$10.41

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $266.2
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $3.36K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$33.79

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $64.52
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $115.7
Potential payout: $835.36
Potential profit: $719.66
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$19.3

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $26.49
Potential payout: $767.71
Potential profit: $741.23
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $96.47
Potential payout: $496.01
Potential profit: $399.53
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $42.41

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $41.28
Potential payout: $391.29
Potential profit: $350.01
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$8.72

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $45.7
Potential payout: $299.69
Potential profit: $253.99
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $9.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $200.7

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.17

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.12

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$2.93

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.12

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$18.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 767.71 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 28,151.66 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 45.45 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 158.73 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 254.24 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 109.49 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 232.56 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 4,632.5 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 4,166.67 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 326.08 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 13,970 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 10,000 shares