Yes position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $35.76
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$22.26
Polymarket Trader
0x266d9175f2D16111d33A0780762b3162Bc322c46-1773136707809
0x266d9175f2d16111d33a0780762b3162bc322c46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $147.62
- Realized PnL
- $74.4
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $47.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$26.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes 44% 50 shares