Polymarket Trader

ricorodmerguezo

0x266f3e4f9b826f28f565a25794ce9f74809a9f85

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $606.01
Realized PnL: $3.09K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $16.67K
Potential profit: $16.54K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $93.21
Potential payout: $9.81K
Potential profit: $9.72K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.69K
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $314.54
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: $114.55

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $34.15
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$65.85

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$172.05

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.85
Potential profit: $353.85
User PnL: -$46

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $39.11
Potential payout: $232.1
Potential profit: $192.99
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: -$60.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.36

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.97

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Yes 2.4% 4,201.83 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

No 0.1% 123,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 99% 964 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 50% 928 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 24.8% 2,014.17 shares
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Yes 13.9% 1,147.94 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.4% 3,722.4 shares
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Yes 17.4% 1,147.94 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 99.6% 2,044.22 shares
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 9,811.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 1% 85.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Down 1.1% 77.96 shares