Polymarket Trader

0x266fe6bc2049FBF2a18815AC70BeC0a40aE00259-1767911956752

0x266fe6bc2049fbf2a18815ac70bec0a40ae00259

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.78
Realized PnL: $88.96
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.86
Potential profit: $206.86
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $68.92
Potential payout: $158.43
Potential profit: $89.51
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$16.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.34
Potential profit: $141.34
User PnL: -$7.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.8
Potential profit: $114.8
User PnL: -$8.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.8
Potential profit: $104.8
User PnL: -$24.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.23
Potential profit: $94.23
User PnL: -$10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.45
Potential profit: $51.45
User PnL: -$6.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.91
Potential profit: $33.91
User PnL: -$12.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.89
Potential profit: $31.89
User PnL: -$9.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.69
Potential profit: $31.69
User PnL: -$9.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.22
Potential profit: $27.22
User PnL: -$4.97

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $23.86
Potential payout: $26.22
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.57
Potential profit: $21.57
User PnL: -$4.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.96
Potential profit: $19.96
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.14
Potential profit: $18.14
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.19
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: -$1.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 42.6% 67.18 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 81% 35.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Down 30% 23.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Down 50% 9.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Down 5% 99.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Down 26% 14.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 20.2% 105.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 8% 98.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 29% 6.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Down 10% 19.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 52% 1.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Down 2% 49.99 shares