Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.17K
- Potential profit
- $7.17K
- User PnL
- -$187.88
Polymarket Trader
seasonedsusan
0x26755d052a3676c8d2a611eb492b94857f2c5bf9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.73K
- Realized PnL
- $2.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- User PnL
- -$3.69
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $880.07
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$48.92
No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $205.87
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $20.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $650.11
- Potential payout
- $687.94
- Potential profit
- $37.84
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $85.11
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.63
- Potential profit
- $332.63
- User PnL
- -$290
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $252.84
- Potential payout
- $277.85
- Potential profit
- $25.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $57.31
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $173.73
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $76.28
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$16.28
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.9
- Potential profit
- $245.9
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $227.72
- Potential payout
- $232.61
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.72
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.92
- Potential profit
- $217.92
- User PnL
- -$190
No position
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $179.29
- Potential payout
- $187.64
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.29
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $132.25
- Potential payout
- $144.54
- Potential profit
- $12.29
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $12.25
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.99
- Potential profit
- $140.99
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $95.27
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $39.86
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $120.48
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $108.55
- Potential payout
- $114.32
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $109.61
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.61
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $103.23
- Potential payout
- $107.87
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.76
- Potential profit
- $104.76
- User PnL
- -$6.19
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $59.37
- Potential payout
- $75.53
- Potential profit
- $16.16
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $9.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.6
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.32
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.31
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.72
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.25
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.59
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.58
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.26
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.9
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.59
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.86
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.18
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.45
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.02
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.23
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.42
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.43
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 34.1% 292.94 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 40% 250 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 32% 3.13 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 31.4% 63.72 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 31% 354.84 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.9% 752.25 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 76% 250 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 61% 245.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 74% 135.14 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96% 457.18 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 46% 326.28 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.6% 370.7 shares