Polymarket Trader

dzP3

0x26884e442a62b9587fd5e7012389517cd52ccb00

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.28K
Realized PnL: $8.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.09K
Potential profit: $7.09K
User PnL: -$24.51

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$23.94

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17K
Potential profit: $6.17K
User PnL: -$16.62

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$75.85

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Hungary?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.96K
Potential profit: $5.96K
User PnL: -$31.3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $263.5
Potential payout: $5.86K
Potential profit: $5.59K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$810.76

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.51K
User PnL: -$141.51

Yes position

Will Joe's Giggle win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$17.97

Yes position

Will Read 'Em And Weep win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.87K
User PnL: -$12.72

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10.99

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$22.38

Yes position

2025 August second hottest on record?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$20.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $907.63
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $417.38
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $24.76

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $79.83
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$573.61

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$95.78

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $28.31
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$130.12

Yes position

Will Redwood Shadow win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ready Tiger win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kipling's Journey win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Fortified win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Smart Legend win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.84

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.44

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $443.17

No position

Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.54

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.44

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.24

Yes position

Will the U.S. take a stake in Intel by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.39

Yes position

Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Yes position

Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $190.13

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.1

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.43

Yes position

Will the Labour Party (Ap) win 27% or more of vote in Norwegian election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $132

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: August

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.98

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.76

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.9

No position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 15.4% 400 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 4% 187.52 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 2.4% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 6% 475 shares
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Yes 16% 299.33 shares
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Yes 15% 268.22 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 31.9% 20 shares
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 61% 205.89 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 15.3% 230 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 13.7% 202 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 1% 100 shares
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?

Yes 16.1% 464.96 shares