No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.01
- Potential payout
- $20.03
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.34
Polymarket Trader
obedient.snail0672
0x268e798a49cd1470c9c47b8c8f507634f410dfae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.96
- Realized PnL
- $326.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $13.3
- Potential profit
- $10.04
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.93
Virtus.pro position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.68
ex-HEROIC position
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.46
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.74
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.92
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.16
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9
Under position
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
Nongshim RedForce position
Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Trail Blazers position
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 37% 13.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 200 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?No 90.8% 26.71 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 33.82 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?No 92.8% 25.96 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 93.8% 11.36 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 93.9% 25.99 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?No 93% 53.71 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?Up 91% 54.89 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?Up 91% 54.45 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Madagascar end in a draw?No 94% 52.71 shares
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTeam Liquid 81% 61.17 shares