Yes position
Will Trump sue over South Park episode?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
Mzeldovi
0x269a791f2472add3e2cb446066d4d710ffab0837
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.09K
- Realized PnL
- $9.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $198.96
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $803.35
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$101.04
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $104.55
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $804.55
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $29.5
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $803.83
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$170.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $554.18
- Potential payout
- $715.08
- Potential profit
- $160.89
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $54.18
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $584.8
- Potential profit
- $584.8
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $537.79
- Potential payout
- $581.4
- Potential profit
- $43.6
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $37.79
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497.06
- Potential profit
- $497.06
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $260.25
- Potential payout
- $430.16
- Potential profit
- $169.91
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $60.25
Yes position
IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $422.09
- Potential profit
- $422.09
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Current value
- $311.25
- Potential payout
- $416.94
- Potential profit
- $105.7
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $342.69
- Potential payout
- $361.67
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $42.69
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $185.21
- Potential payout
- $327.87
- Potential profit
- $142.66
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$14.79
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $295.04
- Potential profit
- $295.04
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.04
- Potential profit
- $241.04
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $97.36
- Potential payout
- $240.38
- Potential profit
- $143.03
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$27.64
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $218.74
- Potential payout
- $239.05
- Potential profit
- $20.32
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $28.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.79
- Potential profit
- $214.79
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $146.72
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $17.21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $46.72
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.24
- Potential profit
- $158.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.5
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
James Comey indicted before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $112.36
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $105.77
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $779.52
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.79
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.89
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.68
No position
Trump positive favorability on Day 100?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.42
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.59
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.64
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.26
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.67
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.19
No position
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.52
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.51
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $271.59
No position
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.28
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.17
No position
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.56
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.78
No position
Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.3
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $214.29
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 72% 416.94 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24% 833.33 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 69.9% 715.08 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 581.4 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 71% 70.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 281.69 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 327.87 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 584.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 81.8% 1,222.19 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 40.2% 497.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 80% 375 shares
- Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?No 17.6% 28.41 shares