Polymarket Trader

Hannsanity

0x26a1af38fb1af1e7e20d9cbbdafcff0b2d645704

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $485.17
Realized PnL: $150.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $167.52
Potential payout: $183.09
Potential profit: $15.56
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $154.18
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $48.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.07
Potential payout: $31.09
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $23.87
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.87

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $25.66
Potential payout: $26.04
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $23.74
Potential payout: $25.87
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $8.54
Potential payout: $23.95
Potential profit: $15.41
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $14.9
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $5.94
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $17.75
Potential payout: $19.16
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.75

T1 position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $13.39
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$1.61

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $15.45
Potential payout: $16.27
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $14.84
Potential payout: $16.22
Potential profit: $1.38
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $15.1
Potential payout: $16.09
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $14.48
Potential payout: $16.09
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $7.46
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $8.88
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $11.08
Potential payout: $12.3
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $4.47
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $6.42
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.14
Potential profit: $8.14
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.07

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

No position

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 38% 7.89 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 32% 9.38 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 40% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 5?

No 96.5% 31.09 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 20.83 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 15.38 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.4% 23.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 4?

No 94.9% 52.69 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

T1 54% 18.52 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 89.4% 12.3 shares
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies 88% 11.36 shares