Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Polymarket Trader
0x26B0BAD7058f84a5527Bc27C794aCc794B04B22D-1777090236504
0x26b0bad7058f84a5527bc27c794acc794b04b22d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.27
- Realized PnL
- $213.07
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$49.92
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$9.37
Yes position
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $830
- Potential profit
- $830
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $510
- User PnL
- -$5.61
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $252
- Potential profit
- $251.62
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $242.19
- Potential profit
- $236.74
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.98
- Potential profit
- $236.98
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $212.53
- Potential profit
- $212.42
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $209.38
- Potential profit
- $208.22
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153
- Potential profit
- $153
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $138.81
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.96
- Potential profit
- $126.96
- User PnL
- -$12.63
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.25
- Potential profit
- $118.25
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.07
- Potential profit
- $111.07
- User PnL
- -$8.89
Yes position
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.83
- Potential profit
- $105.83
- User PnL
- -$2.54
No position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.4
- Potential profit
- $86.4
- User PnL
- -$13.28
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $84
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.62
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.62
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.29
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.22
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
No position
Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?No 64% 7.81 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 65% 7.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 45% 11 shares
- Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes 36% 13.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 59% 8 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 70% 7.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 47% 10 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No 18% 27.5 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.5% 544 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76% 6.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 10 shares