Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.04
- Potential profit
- $97.04
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
norisk-nostory
0x26b9845c444f1fc0b27c6c1024c2b669bed806ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.36
- Realized PnL
- $39.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $44.78
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.12
- Potential profit
- $42.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.72
- Potential profit
- $28.72
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.4
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.3%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?Yes 51% 3.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?Yes 22% 9.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?Yes 50% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?Yes 43% 4.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?Yes 23% 8.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?Yes 56% 3.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?Yes 65% 3.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?Yes 32% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 21?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on June 20?Yes 40% 2.5 shares