Polymarket Trader

Dalibear

0x26dd5fef8dfda67825917cc62a3997a7a071f6b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $279.37
Realized PnL: $921.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $43.17
Potential payout: $583.33
Potential profit: $540.17
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $20.99
Potential payout: $371.53
Potential profit: $350.54
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $12.99

Yes position

Will Norway win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $157
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $94.78
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $54.48
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $126.14
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $18.25
Potential payout: $123.71
Potential profit: $105.46
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $122.5
Potential profit: $112.15
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $37.37
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $67.89
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $17.37

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $61.4
Potential profit: $56.8
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$30.39

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $57.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $36.19
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.29
Potential profit: $34.29
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $12.1
Potential payout: $34.09
Potential profit: $21.99
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2.9

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.98
Potential profit: $16.98
User PnL: -$9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.86

No position

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.87

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.55

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.84

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.31

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.58

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.73

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.36

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.21

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.93

Yes position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $15.55

Yes position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.88

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 53% 16.98 shares
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Yes 12.2% 122.5 shares
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

No 44% 34.09 shares
Will Norway win the World Cup?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 55% 55.55 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 7% 56 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 6.3% 51.92 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 40.2% 29.81 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 47.8% 50 shares
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 18.7% 26.67 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 20% 50 shares