Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Polymarket Trader
Serjo-387
@sergunishka
0x26e43a1218dfd4a02c8a42c6e68589ab7ae71275
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.07
- Realized PnL
- $37.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $9.81
- Potential profit
- $5.74
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.99
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Linea airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Ethereum above $2,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp 17% 5.88 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 62% 3.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp 3% 33.33 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?No 98.8% 1.01 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 49% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 99% 5 shares
- Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 94% 5 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 5?No 31% 3.23 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 0.1% 800 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 99.7% 2.7 shares