No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.5K
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $641.79
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $517.57
Polymarket Trader
Wahrheitssager
0x26e5a0835e1f698e12f64f006123cc991414f9be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.6K
- Realized PnL
- $8.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$193.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$329.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$315.64
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$870
Yes position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
GamerLegion position
Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $970.03
- Potential profit
- $970.03
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $961.54
- Potential profit
- $961.54
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $835.94
- Potential profit
- $835.94
- User PnL
- -$160
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $778.7
- Potential profit
- $778.7
- User PnL
- -$59.74
Yes position
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $770.42
- Potential profit
- $770.42
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $571.43
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.2
- Potential profit
- $550.2
- User PnL
- -$137.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.52
- Potential profit
- $436.52
- User PnL
- -$95.31
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.3%
- Current value
- $100.8
- Potential payout
- $415.65
- Potential profit
- $314.85
- Multiplier
- 4.12x
- User PnL
- -$6.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$152
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.52
- Potential profit
- $309.52
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.81
- Potential profit
- $263.81
- User PnL
- -$13.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.48
- Potential profit
- $250.48
- User PnL
- -$69.17
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.69
- Potential profit
- $174.69
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $918.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.7
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.94
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.73
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.83
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 38% 45.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 48% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 38% 200 shares
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 43.4% 200 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 19.4% 205.74 shares
- Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 11.6% 432.78 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 18.7% 106.95 shares
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 43.4% 230.46 shares
- Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 11.3% 888.71 shares
- Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev 80% 62.5 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 19.1% 523.25 shares
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 43.6% 458.52 shares