Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.5K
- Potential payout
- $9.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $300.13
Polymarket Trader
soapbubbles
0x26efdfbf3f20b86e5cf631136fb5ae598e0fa308
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.39K
- Realized PnL
- $2.46K
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $8.36K
- Potential profit
- $6.44K
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $29.31
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $6.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $82.68
- Potential payout
- $344.51
- Potential profit
- $261.83
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $6.89
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$64
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$6.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.37
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $480.94
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.1
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.14
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.76
No position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.46
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.23
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.44
No position
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
Yes position
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$83.9
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$278.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No 22% 344.51 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes 42.5% 9,879.89 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 48% 308.19 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 48% 5,727.81 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes 22.6% 8,363.87 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 9,330.99 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 1.8% 64.78 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 98.2% 9,201.03 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 1.9% 6,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 1.9% 7,064.78 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 94.8% 600 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 94.8% 400 shares