No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $261.99
- Potential payout
- $328.52
- Potential profit
- $66.53
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $11.99
Polymarket Trader
couplehunnidthou
0x26f7fe999254fa190122ce86e0c2269bab259a17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $627.08
- Realized PnL
- $1.68K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $176.84
- Potential payout
- $313.04
- Potential profit
- $136.2
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.68
N
No position
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?
Ends Aug 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $42.65
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $251.47
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$7.35
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $66.1
- Potential payout
- $75.54
- Potential profit
- $9.44
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $46.49
- Potential payout
- $52.36
- Potential profit
- $5.86
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $17.83
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $13.18
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $20.66
- Potential profit
- $10.23
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $3.22
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $2.84
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $2.21
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.95
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.61
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $22.13
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $17.05
N
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $14.15
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.86x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.90x
- User PnL
- $2.42
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$6.61
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$8.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$12.33
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$14.12
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$15.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 16% 5 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 77% 600.1 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 21.1% 3,051.66 shares
- US strike on Syria by December 31?Yes 13% 411.85 shares
- US strike on Syria by December 31?Yes 17% 606.65 shares
- US strike on Syria by December 31?Yes 19% 510.53 shares
- US strike on Syria by December 31?Yes 19% 256.42 shares