No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
rb50
0x270a34538f7c315f01cc751a5d88557751604246
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $887.29
- Realized PnL
- $120.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $366.19
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $33.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $41.17
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $21.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $178.9
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.98
- Potential profit
- $119.98
- User PnL
- -$6.92
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.72
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 90% 555.56 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 21.6% 7.47 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 74% 5 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 26% 7.46 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 16% 9.79 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 19.7% 9.8 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 13% 19.45 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 75.3% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 19.8% 9.75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 12.6% 19.39 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 19.9% 9.7 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?Yes 19.9% 9.7 shares