Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.57K
- Potential profit
- $8.57K
- User PnL
- -$35
Polymarket Trader
0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF
0x270d627c490ea2a58a66215ab0ee8db9c1d45ff2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.37
- Realized PnL
- $9.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.97K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- User PnL
- -$720.51
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $14.08
- Potential payout
- $454.15
- Potential profit
- $440.07
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$45.92
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $14.15
- Potential payout
- $367.51
- Potential profit
- $353.36
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$25.85
Yes position
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $5.58
- Potential payout
- $309.98
- Potential profit
- $304.4
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$24.42
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$66
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $19.12
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $275
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$30.88
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.58
- Potential profit
- $238.58
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.74
- Potential profit
- $220.74
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.34
- Potential profit
- $215.34
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.36
- Potential profit
- $136.36
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $25.11
- Potential payout
- $124.62
- Potential profit
- $99.51
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- $15.11
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.21
- Potential profit
- $124.21
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $16.32
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $88.95
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.93
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $90.52
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.07
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $79.37
- Potential profit
- $75.28
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$5.91
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.72
- Potential profit
- $78.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.77
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.09
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.88
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.13
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.19
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $255.99
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.95
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.77
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $160
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.52
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.42
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.37
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.87
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.63
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.36
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.38
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.76
Yes position
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 29, 2026?Yes 12% 44.99 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 29, 2026?Yes 32% 21.01 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 28.7% 174.22 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 70% 142.86 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 46.4% 215.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes 1.1% 2,045.9 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes 0.5% 353.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 20% 312.98 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 312.98 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?Yes 0.4% 16.59 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?Yes 89.3% 223.88 shares