Polymarket Trader

S0llarFlare

0x271e9362fbb2ba27dd1f49435946387854d0b975

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.54
Realized PnL: $667.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $344.4
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $283.87
Potential profit: $283.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $278.18
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $260.01
Potential profit: $259.62
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $254.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $209.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $7.91
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $132.09
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $6.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.2%
Current value: $18.11
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $56.89
Multiplier: 4.14x
User PnL: $17.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $67.22
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.73
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.63
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 35% 8.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1% 104 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 30% 10 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 8% 15 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 20% 5 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 20% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 20% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 83.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 73.9% 21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 61.6% 17.09 shares