No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Current value
- $3.92K
- Potential payout
- $6.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $459.99
Polymarket Trader
165198989
0x27213ee3781c0f432680a778ae3f275d0b73325b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.28K
- Realized PnL
- $31.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.51K
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$985.68
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.04K
- Potential payout
- $5.57K
- Potential profit
- $529.06
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $130.14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.45K
- Potential payout
- $5.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $455.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $5.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$497.88
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $12.39
- Potential payout
- $3.54K
- Potential profit
- $3.53K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$62.97
Yes position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $230.31
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $75.25
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $38.96
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$361.71
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $848.85
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$374.97
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $116.94
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$189.19
Yes position
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $214.2
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$433.08
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $592.64
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $589.26
No position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $45.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $34.7
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $16.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $29.96
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$109.01
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$483.19
Yes position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $66.04
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$182.94
No position
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $95.52
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $296.16
No position
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $541.79
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $689.54
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $174.79
Yes position
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $196.02
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$465.99
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $125.27
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$124.33
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $445.61
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $727.05
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$100.61
Yes position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $10.65
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $11.38
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$21.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $2.56K
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $998.47
Yes position
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.16
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $937.95
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $893.63
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $880.64
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $865.97
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $838.69
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $787.51
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $745
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $716.36
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $687.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No 60% 37 shares
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?No 38% 25 shares
- Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 34% 17.31 shares
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No 37% 5.33 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 23% 33 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 20% 6.25 shares
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No 37% 5.33 shares
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No 37.5% 10 shares
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 43% 396.8 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62% 155.9 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 37.8% 515 shares
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No 37.5% 10 shares