No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $39.79
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Polymarket Trader
insider-traiding
0x2732485c9aa5ade0729e6d373e80a6df168c9ae3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.96
- Realized PnL
- $65.01
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.44
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $10.69
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $10.73
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.35
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.64
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.72
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.56
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Women's sports" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No 92% 5.43 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 93.2% 10.73 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 96.3% 15.58 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No 85% 17.65 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.1% 6.32 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 40.54 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99% 38.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 89% 16.85 shares
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No 61% 8.2 shares
- Will Trump say "Women's sports" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?No 55% 5.26 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 77.6% 6.44 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 6.02 shares