Polymarket Trader

0x274125f89DCa5CCbe0A47b1e8C66403051Bc4734-1776147337433

0x274125f89dca5ccbe0a47b1e8c66403051bc4734

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.78
Realized PnL: $0.53
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.87
Potential profit: $23.87
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.51
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.42
Potential profit: $7.42
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58
Potential profit: $3.58
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71
Potential profit: $2.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.7% 12 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?

Down 3.9% 23.87 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 45% 2.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Down 18% 5.23 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 13% 7.42 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 36.9% 2.71 shares
Will Trump say "Russia" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 99.3% 1.01 shares
Will Putin visit China by May 31?

No 14% 7.14 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Yes 62.8% 1.59 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

No 96% 1.04 shares