Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $46.73
- Potential payout
- $69.23
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $26.73
Polymarket Trader
SanctionedBets
0x274ab38b3338ff197d3170834fbafcc5ddb82246
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130.99
- Realized PnL
- $1.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $457.47
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.32
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.42
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.14
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 9PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?Up 39% 5.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?No 63% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?No 61% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?No 64% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?No 50.7% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?Down 35% 5.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 7?No 70% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 7?No 71% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?Down 23% 8.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 7?No 72% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 7?No 72% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 7?No 63% 5 shares