Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
Matias89c
0x275968642cf9d73f13f876220f0ba4883aed62a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $161.43
- Realized PnL
- $155.72
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $18.79
- Potential payout
- $835.09
- Potential profit
- $816.3
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $8.62
- Potential payout
- $783.88
- Potential profit
- $775.26
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $747.52
- Potential profit
- $747.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503
- Potential profit
- $503
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will another outcome occur in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $421.65
- Potential profit
- $420.39
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.73
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $413.96
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $38
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $362
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 15% and 20%?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $6.51
- Potential payout
- $144.65
- Potential profit
- $138.15
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.49
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $15.19
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $124.81
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $121.36
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.81
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $19.74
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $87.26
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $24.77
- Potential payout
- $101.09
- Potential profit
- $76.32
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $13.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.75
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $50.47
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $23.55
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
N
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.66
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.7% 2,776.25 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 5.3% 11 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.9% 600 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 715.09 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.3% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 7,460 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 10,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 10,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 4,000 shares