Polymarket Trader

driphop

0x2773126b5c08eab1aaf932f86048bc8d8579045c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $104.66
Realized PnL: $177.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.48
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $44.85
Potential profit: $44.2
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$20.15

No position

Will Ford (F) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$18.02

No position

Will CoStar (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 28, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.6
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$13.4

No position

Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 28, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$10.67

Yes position

Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $39.28
Potential profit: $35.35
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will Simu Liu appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $17.49
Potential payout: $35.33
Potential profit: $17.84
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.52
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.8
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will there be 25+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will Calvin Harris perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.91
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.1
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 28, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will anyone say "Traitor" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$6.1

No position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.93
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.82
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 28, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $14.44
Potential profit: $10.76
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$2.67

No position

City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$3.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.94

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 31

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.69

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.97

Yes position

Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $7.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "Knicks" during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $7.72

No position

Will Rui Silva be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Yes position

Will CoStar (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 28, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.39

Yes position

Will Ford (F) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 28, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?

No 75% 20 shares
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?

No 30% 40 shares
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?

No 27% 20 shares
Will CoStar (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 79% 40 shares
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?

No 65% 20 shares
Will Ford (F) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 81% 20 shares
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 71% 37 shares
Will Simu Liu appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?

Yes 41% 3.07 shares
Will Ford (F) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 52% 20 shares
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?

No 65% 0.75 shares
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?

No 35% 5 shares
Will Simu Liu appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?

Yes 40.7% 21.6 shares