Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $22.93K
- Potential payout
- $33K
- Potential profit
- $10.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $46.66
Polymarket Trader
aiwar
0x277e6718cdf00f4f887d17589895ae031a337d32
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.99K
- Realized PnL
- $21.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $11.5K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $504
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $356.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $4.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $6.08K
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $69.93
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.1%
- Current value
- $5.77K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$163.53
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$449.57
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$101.41
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.6%
- Current value
- $2.86K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$444.8
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $79.12
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $189.99
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$204.98
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $505.11
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $495.11
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$200.75
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $960.5
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$58.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $265
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $735
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $549.99
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $775.11
- Potential payout
- $956.92
- Potential profit
- $181.81
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.9%
- Current value
- $229.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $270.5
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- -$60.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.24
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $798.37
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.58
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $762.55
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.63
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.54
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.03
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.7
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.98
No position
Will Solana reach $150 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.03
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.77
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.11
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Yes 75% 152 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 64% 21.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 500 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 66% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 64% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 470 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 44.6% 999.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 45% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 46% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 45% 350.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 48% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 79% 1,000 shares