No position
Nothing Ever Happens
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
PaulisRektus
0x2781eb85bf5e3cf8c6a9b3032e500b702c05ed46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.08
- Realized PnL
- -$11.72
- Win rate
- 57.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.92
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will threadguy interview Trump before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon Men's?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Biden interview by Friday?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Jiankui He launch a memecoin before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will a Dem senator endorse Kamala Harris by tomorrow?
Ends Jul 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
JD & Usha Vance divorce before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Another Dem House member calls for Biden to drop out by Friday?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the World Series?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the Knicks resign OG Anunoby?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Germany position
Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Ends Jul 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jiankui He launch a memecoin before May?No 94% 11.7 shares
- Nothing Ever HappensNo 10% 110 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 94% 26.6 shares
- Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?Yes 50% 12 shares
- Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?Yes 25% 32 shares
- JD & Usha Vance divorce before election?No 99.3% 1.01 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No 97.9% 1.02 shares
- Will threadguy interview Trump before October?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the World Series?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 49.8% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 49.8% 10 shares