Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.36K
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.36K
Polymarket Trader
cy6erpunker
0x2783e38aa7b7d1ba8a7f3cef36bed993f3138321
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.57K
- Realized PnL
- $35.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $8.36K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.36K
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $5.62K
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $467.42
No position
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.2K
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $23.22
- User PnL
- $12.21
No position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $14.8
- User PnL
- $80.37
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.36K
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $11.81
- User PnL
- $73.93
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.44K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- User PnL
- $42.08
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $17.62
- User PnL
- $71.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $497.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- User PnL
- $8.31
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $149.63
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $10.13
No position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $98.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $60.24
- Potential payout
- $63.75
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $43.35
- Potential payout
- $50.12
- Potential profit
- $6.77
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $46.58
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $9.06
- Potential payout
- $10.06
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $10.04
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $925.53
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.42
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.89
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.51
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.18
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.94
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.83
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.22
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.62
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.54
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.39
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.55
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.98
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.26
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No 23% 4.35 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 79.5% 5.04 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 75% 1.33 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes 99% 9.99 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt call for 1st round recount?No 84% 5 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Yes 92% 5.01 shares
- Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.7% 13.69 shares
- Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No 85.9% 5 shares
- Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?No 78% 5.03 shares
- Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No 85.9% 5 shares