Polymarket Trader

jporras

0x278e9281c36a6a34d9a5397841b00acdaa8342ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $273.02
Realized PnL: $304.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $200.71
Potential payout: $295.16
Potential profit: $94.45
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $32.53
Potential payout: $99.34
Potential profit: $66.81
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.55
Potential profit: $72.55
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $39.78
Potential payout: $47.08
Potential profit: $7.3
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.69

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.73

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.44

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

No position

X Money released by April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will North West release an album by March 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.78

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Over position

France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30.2% 99.34 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30.1% 117.99 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30.1% 66.45 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 56% 9.35 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 53.5% 9.35 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 94.9% 11.59 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 47.06 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 38% 7.89 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 43% 11.63 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 31% 7.46 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

No 9.7% 15.15 shares