Polymarket Trader

Prehistoric-toad

0x278fa92a0660292f550c511982916e8cd8a0ef30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.28K
Realized PnL: $15.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $17.33K
Potential profit: $15.51K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$8.67

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $987.98
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $3.22K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $51.11

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 46.9%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $929.5
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $52.72

Yes position

Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $122.32
Potential payout: $815.47
Potential profit: $693.15
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $431.38
Potential profit: $431.38
User PnL: -$51.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wuhan San Zhen FC position

Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

No position

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

Yes position

Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC position

Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940.95

Over position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.91

No position

Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.85

Yunnan Yukun FC position

Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.41

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.21

No position

Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.99

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.74

No position

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.04

Zhejiang Lions position

Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.59

Zhejiang Lions position

Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.57

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.27

Al Fayha Saudi Club position

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.28

Incheon United FC position

Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.17

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.62

Under position

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.82

Yes position

Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Under position

Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

No 46.7% 1,016.24 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

No 46.6% 138.49 shares
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Yes 15% 14.08 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 10,481.1 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 6,852.74 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 43% 1,017.39 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 55% 1,473.8 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 32,951.17 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 56% 277.55 shares
Morocco leading at halftime?

Yes 63% 5,440.16 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 12% 431.38 shares
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Yes 14% 29.49 shares