No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $435
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $155
Polymarket Trader
Scarlett9527
0x2796e9bf8ce7f321b69a86ae57af7fe37fbd54ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.58K
- Realized PnL
- -$0.62
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.86
- Potential profit
- $72.86
- User PnL
- -$13.19
No position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will FTX payouts start in Q2 2024?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Scroll airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
Ends Jun 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump mention $boden before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Trump in jail before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Blast airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 94.5% 6 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 97.2% 4.99 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No 18.1% 72.86 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 93% 13 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 94.9% 12.28 shares
- Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?Yes 0.2% 5,825 shares
- Trump in jail before inauguration?No 98.1% 5.81 shares
- Tether Insolvent in 2024?No 97.1% 6.12 shares
- Trump in jail before inauguration?No 98.5% 5.82 shares
- Tether Insolvent in 2024?No 98% 6.12 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes 2.8% 1,034.48 shares
- Scroll airdrop by September 30?No 98.5% 4.06 shares