Y
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $115.35
- Potential profit
- $114.54
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Polymarket Trader
Sequitur-2
0x279d4bd5fd62335bf290958f92a3b7eb59d09266
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.52
- Realized PnL
- -$0.15
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $48.09
- Potential profit
- $46.77
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.84
- Potential profit
- $38.84
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.62
- Potential profit
- $12.62
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $9.59
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $5.63
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $5.61
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.6% 1,455.18 shares
- Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.2% 603.07 shares
- Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.3% 603.07 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1.3% 96.83 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.2% 55.16 shares
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.7% 1,328.94 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 26% 38.1 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1.4% 96.83 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.4% 55.16 shares
- Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.2% 336.65 shares
- Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.2% 336.65 shares
- Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1.6% 50.49 shares