No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $999
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $89
Polymarket Trader
Elyotus
0x27af688d31fb83a6287fd5d50729b6db1c4c6ec8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- $2.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $96.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $89.95
- Potential payout
- $94.78
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $33.6
- Potential payout
- $33.75
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.91
No position
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.99
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.5
No position
Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.49
Yes position
Will Congress grant Trump more funds for deportations?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.17
No position
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.7
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.8
No position
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.38
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.5
Yes position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.36
Yes position
>100 redactions in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.8
No position
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
No position
Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.8
Yes position
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.86
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57
No position
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.58
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.56
No position
Israel strikes Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 99% 57.96 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 0.1% 1,845.97 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 23.6% 88.92 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 22% 27.27 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 22.5% 399.53 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 17% 5.18 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 16% 3.43 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 36% 76.04 shares
- Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 75% 208 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 34% 150 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 38% 45 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 36% 112.9 shares