Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.9%
- Current value
- $788.4
- Potential payout
- $999.87
- Potential profit
- $211.47
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Polymarket Trader
0x27b5...8b4d
0x27b556623c73b42b18d9fdceaaa235625d598b4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $965.31
- Realized PnL
- -$130.9
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $114.42
- Potential payout
- $570.66
- Potential profit
- $456.24
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 73.8%
- Current value
- $62.49
- Potential payout
- $84.68
- Potential profit
- $22.19
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $42.56
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$16.12
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$20.06
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.09
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$66.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 78.1% 999.87 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.4% 570.66 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.4% 518.31 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.4% 518.31 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.7% 550.59 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.7% 550.59 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 81.3% 669.13 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.8% 948.13 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.4% 131.28 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 10% 650.94 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 82.8% 936.91 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.5% 948.13 shares