Polymarket Trader

0x27cb2078d4383a043c818650dad913e876E83007-1783262859396

0x27cb2078d4383a043c818650dad913e876e83007

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.71
Realized PnL: $45.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.24
Potential payout: $47.83
Potential profit: $36.59
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $17.82
Potential profit: $16.84
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$10.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 72.4%
Current value: $11.28
Potential payout: $15.6
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $8.51
Potential payout: $14.3
Potential profit: $5.79
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $5.46
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $6.16
Potential payout: $11.42
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $7.46
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $8.39
Potential profit: $1.8
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $6.3
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $6.11
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.06
User PnL: -$1.59

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $2.12
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $3.05
User PnL: -$1.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $2.03
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Bitcoin above 61,600 on July 8, 10AM ET?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Down 17% 2.02 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Up 54% 3.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Down 67% 2.03 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Up 3% 4.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Up 2% 3.05 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Up 48% 4.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Up 51% 3.06 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Down 1% 3.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Down 4% 3.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Down 50% 3.18 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Down 55% 3.05 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Up 99% 3.05 shares