No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
calebscott7
0x27d66701848b941324bb292119087c4184426aec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41
- Realized PnL
- $34.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the US add between 200k and 250k jobs in April?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 99.9% 22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 29?No 98% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 28?No 99% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 27?Yes 99% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?Yes 99% 15 shares
- Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?No 99.8% 23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 25?No 98% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 24?No 99% 11 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 99.9% 15 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 95% 15 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?No 99.9% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 21?No 99% 14 shares