Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$63
Polymarket Trader
ShonTel
0x27db695d6f88372e73a0b15a197eedbee2feaf68
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130
- Realized PnL
- $5.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- User PnL
- -$9.62
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $130
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$77.2
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$73
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$248.46
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $952.91
Yes position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $698.64
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $595.8
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $354.34
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.64
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.93
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.26
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.99
Yes position
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.99
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.49
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.01
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.05
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.21
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.78
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 24% 166.67 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 12% 1,000 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.6% 500 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.3% 12.5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 10% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 17.4% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 19% 25.26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 7% 399.99 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 10.2% 999.99 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.7% 500.01 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 19% 366.1 shares