Polymarket Trader

0x27e1571Ea7822785aE6cf4E904eA0ec0eEf2508b-1777890744130

0x27e1571ea7822785ae6cf4e904ea0ec0eef2508b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $878.42
Realized PnL: $44.36
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.06K
Potential profit: $219.06K
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.74K
Potential profit: $32.74K
User PnL: -$17.64K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.19K
Potential profit: $25.19K
User PnL: $0

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.43K
Potential profit: $12.43K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $764.53
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $764.53

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $113.89
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $113.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 50,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 1.9% 5,191.53 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 50,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 50,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 16.4% 6,096.51 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 14.3% 698.53 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 16.6% 6,024.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 16.5% 6,051.15 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 76.9% 390.12 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 76.6% 6,123.93 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 76.7% 3,000 shares