No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $18.74K
- Potential payout
- $21.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Polymarket Trader
AdjunctBias
0x27e56917c5c7c5ae7662b85cf86c289bfc39fb20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.95K
- Realized PnL
- $6.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $9.45K
- Potential payout
- $12.52K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$574.65
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.03K
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $257.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $263.71
No position
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $608.9
- Potential payout
- $643.66
- Potential profit
- $34.76
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.22
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $497.77
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Will GBP/USD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $401.27
- Potential payout
- $438.55
- Potential profit
- $37.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $18.51
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $356.3
- Potential payout
- $386.65
- Potential profit
- $30.35
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $19.91
No position
Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $242.36
- Potential payout
- $244.07
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $233.05
- Potential payout
- $234.1
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $151.41
- Potential payout
- $158.46
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $88.36
- Potential payout
- $91.52
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $72
- Potential payout
- $72.36
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $48.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $49.45
- Potential payout
- $49.8
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $32.26
- Potential payout
- $33.67
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.75
No position
Will RBC fail by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $25.35
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will BNY fail by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $24.66
- Potential payout
- $26.54
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $26.02
- Potential payout
- $26.19
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $23.92
- Potential payout
- $25.66
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $21.18
- Potential payout
- $25.36
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $18.15
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $9.06
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will GBP/USD hit 1.50 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
No position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.65
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.02
No position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.41
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $227.88
No position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 5.0% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.66
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.92
No position
Another US bank failure by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.92
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.28
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.91
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $43.67
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.95
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.44
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.50% (HIGH) in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.59
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.60% (HIGH) in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.97
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.41
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.00% (LOW) in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No 88% 90 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No 95.4% 138.49 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No 75% 30 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No 73% 40 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No 70% 100 shares
- Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 300 shares
- Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 200 shares
- Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 16.6 shares
- Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?No 99% 800 shares
- Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 16.6 shares
- Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 16.6 shares
- Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 200.1 shares